Reggiana 2-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
4.04
6+ Goals
11%
18.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.04 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.32
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.97
X/2
13%
5.11
X/X
9%
4.14
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.46
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.85/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.27
-29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-2
AWAY Mantova
0.60 xG 1.11
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
206 Passes 540
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Mantova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Reggiana had 30% of the ball to Mantova's 70%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.60 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Mantova?

Reggiana 2-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 37%, draw 27%, Mantova 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Reggiana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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