Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Aug 2024

Cosenza Calcio
1-0 HT 1-0
Cremonese
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cosenza Calcio vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.0
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
12%
7.52
X/2
11%
4.24
X/X
14%
4.27
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.69
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cosenza Calcio v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.10/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.83
+9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
19.6 Crosses 23.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cosenza Calcio vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Cremonese
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
26.09.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
18.04.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 3-1 HT 3-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
04.12.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
05.04.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
19.12.2020 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB

Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-0
AWAY Cremonese
2.39 xG 0.39
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
181 Passes 443
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio edged past Cremonese 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 33% of the ball to Cremonese's 67%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.39 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cosenza Calcio's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.67 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Cremonese?

Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 30%, draw 29%, Cremonese 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cremonese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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