Cremonese 1-0 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 33% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.9
X/1
19%
3.57
X/2
11%
11.6
X/X
14%
5.06
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
5%
9.85
2/X
8%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.5pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.45
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.5 Crosses 17.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
18.04.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 3-1 HT 3-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
04.12.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
05.04.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
19.12.2020 Cremonese Cremonese 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
26.06.2020 Cremonese Cremonese 0-2 HT 0-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-0
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.55 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
369 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese squeezed past Cosenza Calcio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cremonese had 55% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 45%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.55 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 0.67 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Cremonese 1-0 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 51%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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