Parma vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parma v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Parma
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
Ascoli
İTB
1-3
HT 0-2
Parma
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Ascoli
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Parma
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Parma
İTB
Parma 1-1 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics
Parma and Ascoli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Parma at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Parma had 66% of the ball to Ascoli's 34%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parma and 0.67 for Ascoli.
What was the final score of Parma vs Ascoli?
Parma 1-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie B on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parma vs Ascoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Parma 50%, draw 26%, Ascoli 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parma), BTTS No went the other way.