Venezia 5-3 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Jan 2024

Venezia
5-3 HT 2-1
Sampdoria
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Venezia vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.57
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
10%
4.18
X/2
10%
7.9
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.29
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.85/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.20
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +70%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.3 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.2

Venezia vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
330 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.08.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
20.03.2022 Venezia Venezia 0-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
19.12.2021 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
17.01.2003 Sampdoria Sampdoria 4-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
18.12.2000 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB

Venezia 5-3 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
5-3
AWAY Sampdoria
3.13 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
479 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia beat Sampdoria 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Venezia had 56% of the ball to Sampdoria's 44%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 3.13 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venezia and 2.00 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Sampdoria?

Venezia 5-3 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Venezia 44%, draw 28%, Sampdoria 28%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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