Catanzaro 1-1 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
17%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 24% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.84
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
10%
6.89
X/2
21%
4.88
X/X
8%
4.52
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.97
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.75/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.13
+62% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
1-1
AWAY Sassuolo
0.51 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
411 Passes 412
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Sassuolo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sassuolo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Catanzaro had 50% of the ball to Sassuolo's 50%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.51 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Sassuolo?

Catanzaro 1-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 30%, draw 24%, Sassuolo 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassuolo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
18 Aug 2024
21:30 Cosenza Calcio vs Cremonese Analysis →
21:30 Frosinone vs Sampdoria Analysis →
21:30 Reggiana vs Mantova Analysis →