Frosinone 2-2 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.18
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.77
X/2
17%
5.18
X/X
12%
4.11
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
14%
3.59
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.67/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.44
+51% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.5 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.84 xG 1.65
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
222 Passes 447
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2019 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
15.09.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-5 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
28.02.2016 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
18.10.2015 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
2-2
AWAY Sampdoria
2.08 xG 1.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone and Sampdoria shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 46% of the ball to Sampdoria's 54%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.08 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Frosinone and 1.75 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Sampdoria?

Frosinone 2-2 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 34%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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