Havelse 2-0 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.78
1/2
8%
19.25
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
9%
9.7
X/2
18%
4.45
X/X
10%
6.4
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.07
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.30/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.44
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 37.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
278 Passes 246
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse AL3
18.12.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-2 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse AL3
24.07.2021 Havelse Havelse 0-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
2-0
AWAY Saarbrücken
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
229 Passes 481
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 42
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse got the better of Saarbrücken 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Havelse had 35% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 65%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Havelse and 1.33 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Saarbrücken?

Havelse 2-0 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Havelse 28%, draw 24%, Saarbrücken 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saarbrücken), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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