Waldhof Mannheim 1-4 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Apr 2026

Waldhof Mannheim
1-4 HT 0-2
MSV Duisburg
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.42
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
20%
5.63
X/2
7%
6.01
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.8
2/2
15%
3.78
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waldhof Mannheim v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.15/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.69
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.8 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
3W-2D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
253 Passes 145
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.11.2025 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
12.04.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
05.11.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
23.01.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.05.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-1 HT 3-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
26.11.2021 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-3 HT 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3

Waldhof Mannheim 1-4 MSV Duisburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1-4
AWAY MSV Duisburg
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
556 Passes 217
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg cruised past Waldhof Mannheim 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Waldhof Mannheim at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 68% of the ball to MSV Duisburg's 32%, shots finished 16-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.00 for MSV Duisburg.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?

Waldhof Mannheim 1-4 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 46%, draw 25%, MSV Duisburg 28%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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