Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rot-Weiss Essen v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Rot-Weiss Essen
AL3
1-1
HT 0-0
Rot-Weiss Essen
AL3
Rot-Weiss Essen 4-1 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics
Rot-Weiss Essen cruised past Ingolstadt 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 54% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 46%, shots finished 33-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.00 for Ingolstadt.
What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt?
Rot-Weiss Essen 4-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 51%, draw 24%, Ingolstadt 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.