Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

Rot-Weiss Essen
2-0 HT 1-0
Ingolstadt
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.72
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.24
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
18%
5.51
X/2
8%
6.4
X/X
9%
5.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.3
2/2
17%
4.09
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.46/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.51
-5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.8 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Ingolstadt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
28.04.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 HT 3-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
25.11.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
25.02.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
20.08.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2-0
AWAY Ingolstadt
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
143 Passes 383
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen got the better of Ingolstadt 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 32% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 68%, shots finished 14-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.40 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt?

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 43%, draw 24%, Ingolstadt 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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