Alemannia Aachen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

Alemannia Aachen
2-2 HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund II
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Alemannia Aachen vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.97
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.0
X/2
10%
6.92
X/X
7%
4.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
2/2
10%
4.93
2/X
11%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v Borussia Dortmund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.01/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.71
-39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.6 Crosses 18.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Alemannia Aachen vs Borussia Dortmund II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
259 Passes 288
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
17.01.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
05.09.2020 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-1 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
01.02.2020 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-3 HT 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
23.10.2019 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-3 HT 0-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
03.08.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3

Alemannia Aachen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
2-2
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
215 Passes 217
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen and Borussia Dortmund II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alemannia Aachen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 52% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 48%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.67 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Alemannia Aachen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 49%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund II 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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