Verl 1-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Feb 2025

Verl
1-1 HT 1-0
Viktoria Köln
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Verl vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.96
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
15%
5.03
X/2
14%
7.1
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.08
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
1.63/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.51
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
13.7 Crosses 13.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Verl vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
20.12.2023 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
05.08.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
01.04.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
07.10.2022 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
22.01.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 5-2 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3

Verl 1-1 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
427 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Verl vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Viktoria Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Verl had 57% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 43%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Verl and 2.50 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Verl vs Viktoria Köln?

Verl 1-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Verl 43%, draw 25%, Viktoria Köln 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Verl), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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