Ingolstadt 1-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Nov 2025

Ingolstadt
1-2 HT 0-0
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
1/X
13%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.81
X/2
17%
5.62
X/X
8%
5.95
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
3.05
2/X
4%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.56/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.90
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.9 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
21.09.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
28.04.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-0 HT 3-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
25.11.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
25.02.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
20.08.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3

Ingolstadt 1-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-2
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
335 Passes 293
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen edged past Ingolstadt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Essen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 54% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 46%, shots finished 16-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ingolstadt and 2.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Ingolstadt 1-2 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 38%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Essen 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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