Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 2.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
11.04.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-4 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
09.08.2020 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
12.02.2020 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
09.11.2019 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
04.05.2019 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 2-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1-0
AWAY Kortrijk
0.33 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
416 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren edged past Kortrijk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 57% of the ball to Kortrijk's 43%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.33 to 0.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kortrijk.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.83 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Kortrijk?

Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Kortrijk in the Belgium - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 50%, draw 26%, Kortrijk 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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