Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
8.02
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.3pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -21%
1.42/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.88
-28% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
24.9 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1W-2D-2L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.39 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
300 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 3-1 HT 1-1 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
20.12.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 HT 1-2 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
01.09.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-2 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
12.04.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
20.08.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-5 HT 0-2 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
2-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.16 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
327 Passes 408
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage and KRC Genk II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boussu Dour Borinage at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 46% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 54%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.16 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KRC Genk II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 2.40 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs KRC Genk II?

Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 49%, draw 27%, KRC Genk II 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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