KRC Genk II 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.36/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.17
+11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.2 Crosses 23.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.25 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 HT 1-2 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
01.09.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-2 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
12.04.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
20.08.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-5 HT 0-2 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
3-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.41 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
400 Passes 419
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II got the better of Boussu Dour Borinage 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Boussu Dour Borinage at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 48% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 52%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.41 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for KRC Genk II and 1.75 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

KRC Genk II 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 27%, draw 25%, Boussu Dour Borinage 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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