Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 25% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 32%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.40/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.36
-18% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
21.4 Crosses 16.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1W-1D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
263 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-2 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
12.04.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
20.08.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-5 HT 0-2 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
2-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.31 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
291 Passes 329
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage and KRC Genk II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Boussu Dour Borinage at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 49% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 51%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.31 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 2.33 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs KRC Genk II?

Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 45%, draw 26%, KRC Genk II 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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