Baranovichi 0-4 ML Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.49
Away Pick
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.86
Over
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.07
2-3
45%
1.72
4-5
18%
3.41
6+
8%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
ML Vitebsk win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
14%
Home Win
10%
+3.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.2pp
66%
Away Win
71%
-5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Vitebsk The Market 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baranovichi
0-4
AWAY ML Vitebsk
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs ML Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ML Vitebsk swept aside Baranovichi 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ML Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Baranovichi had 42% of the ball to ML Vitebsk's 58%, shots finished 5-18.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs ML Vitebsk?

Baranovichi 0-4 ML Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs ML Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an ML Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 14%, draw 20%, ML Vitebsk 66%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Vitebsk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ML Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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