Vitebsk 1-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.59
Over
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.35
2-3
42%
1.7
4-5
20%
4.48
6+
9%
24.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov The Market 33%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.13/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.13
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2025 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-5 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
15.03.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.09.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
26.04.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-0 HT 1-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
16.09.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
08.05.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
1-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk edged past BATE Borisov 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Vitebsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vitebsk had 48% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 52%, shots finished 3-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vitebsk and 1.00 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov?

Vitebsk 1-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 35%, draw 28%, BATE Borisov 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BATE Borisov), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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