BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BATE Borisov v Vitebsk — Team-Based Signals
BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
BATE Borisov
BLR
2-1
HT 1-1
Vitebsk
BLR
4-0
HT 0-0
Vitebsk
BLR
0-0
HT 0-0
BATE Borisov
BLR
2-3
HT 1-2
BATE Borisov
BLRK
BATE Borisov 1-0 Vitebsk — Actual Match Statistics
BATE Borisov squeezed past Vitebsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; BATE Borisov found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, BATE Borisov had 51% of the ball to Vitebsk's 49%, shots finished 8-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BATE Borisov and 0.83 for Vitebsk.
What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk?
BATE Borisov 1-0 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk?
Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 40%, draw 25%, Vitebsk 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE Borisov), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.