Vitebsk 0-1 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.18
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.20/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.61
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY BATE Borisov
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
26.04.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-0 HT 1-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
16.09.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
08.05.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
28.11.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
04.07.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
0-1
AWAY BATE Borisov
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov squeezed past Vitebsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; BATE Borisov found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vitebsk had 47% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 53%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vitebsk and 1.33 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov?

Vitebsk 0-1 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 39%, draw 27%, BATE Borisov 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitebsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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