Gomel 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
54%
-12.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.49
+27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +71%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
196 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-2 HT 1-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
18.05.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
04.11.2023 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
11.06.2023 Gomel Gomel 0-3 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
08.10.2022 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 HT 1-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
29.06.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel and Torpedo Zhodino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Zhodino at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Gomel had 43% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 57%, shots finished 3-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gomel and 1.00 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Gomel 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gomel 29%, draw 30%, Torpedo Zhodino 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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