BATE Borisov 1-5 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.75
Over
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.85
2-3
42%
1.72
4-5
23%
3.69
6+
11%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk The Market 39%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.08/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
-14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.09.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
26.04.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-0 HT 1-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
16.09.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
08.05.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
28.11.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
1-5
AWAY Vitebsk
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk swept aside BATE Borisov 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was BATE Borisov at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 59% of the ball to Vitebsk's 41%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BATE Borisov and 0.50 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk?

BATE Borisov 1-5 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 43%, draw 27%, Vitebsk 31%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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