Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.68
Over
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.58
2-3
37%
1.7
4-5
25%
4.02
6+
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Slavia Mozyr win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk The Market 19%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
2.06/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.58
+10% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLRK
08.03.2026 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
12.09.2025 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
25.04.2025 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
14.09.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.04.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1-1
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Slavia Mozyr at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 66% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 34%, shots finished 22-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 0.50 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 57%, draw 22%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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