Criciuma vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Criciuma 1-0 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma squeezed past Botafogo SP 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Criciuma had 51% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.63 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Criciuma and 0.67 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Botafogo SP?
Criciuma 1-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 49%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.