Nomme United 5-1 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -17%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.78
+30% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Trans Narva
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
57% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
26.07.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
23.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-3 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
30.03.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
5-1
AWAY Trans Narva
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Nomme United vs Trans Narva
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nomme United ran out comfortable winners over Trans Narva 5-1 in the Estonia - Premium League on 11 Apr 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, Nomme United had 49% of the ball to Trans Narva's 51%, shots finished 15-15.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trans Narva lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nomme United and 2.75 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Trans Narva?

Nomme United 5-1 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 38%, draw 27%, Trans Narva 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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