FC Kuressaare 3-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.73/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.86
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.08.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-3 HT 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
29.06.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
04.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
01.07.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare nicked a narrow win over Harju Jalgpallikool 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day FC Kuressaare made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harju Jalgpallikool led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.67 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

FC Kuressaare 3-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 42%, draw 21%, Harju Jalgpallikool 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Kuressaare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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11 Apr 2026
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