Cwmbran Celtic 3-1 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
67%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
39%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-0.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
67%
Away Win
66%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 70%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.00/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -44%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.09.2025 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic got the better of Aberystwyth Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aberystwyth Town at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Aberystwyth Town?

Cwmbran Celtic 3-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 13%, draw 20%, Aberystwyth Town 67%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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