Penrhyncoch 4-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+4.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.07/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.17
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
413 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
10.01.2026 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-2 HT 0-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
17.08.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-4 HT 2-3 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
15.04.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-2 HT 1-2 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
30.07.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
09.04.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 4-2 HT 2-2 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
06.11.2021 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-1 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch ran out comfortable winners over Gresford Athletic 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penrhyncoch as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.50 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic?

Penrhyncoch 4-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 55%, draw 19%, Gresford Athletic 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penrhyncoch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
11 Apr 2026
16:00 Cwmbran Celtic vs Aberystwyth Town Analysis →
16:00 Cardiff Draconians vs Pontypridd Town AFC Analysis →
16:30 Guilsfield vs Caersws Analysis →
16:30 Mold Alexandra vs Brickfield Rangers Analysis →
16:30 Newtown vs Llandudno FC Analysis →