Penrhyncoch 2-4 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
43%
-13.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.5pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.60/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.91
-18% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +91%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.04.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-2 HT 1-2 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
30.07.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
09.04.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 4-2 HT 2-2 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
06.11.2021 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-1 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic saw off Penrhyncoch 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gresford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.00 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic?

Penrhyncoch 2-4 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gresford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 30%, draw 29%, Gresford Athletic 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gresford Athletic), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gresford Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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