Mold Alexandra 2-3 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
19%
+10.6pp
48%
Away Win
62%
-13.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.1pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 66%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
0.37/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.86
-73% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Holywell
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 1-3 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
28.08.2023 Holywell Holywell 3-0 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
08.02.2023 Mold Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
23.07.2022 Mold Alexandra 2-3 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALLK
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell edged past Mold Alexandra 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Mold Alexandra and 2.75 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Holywell?

Mold Alexandra 2-3 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 23%, draw 29%, Holywell 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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