Bangor 1876 1-4 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.21
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor 1876
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Guilsfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.04.2024 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
16.12.2023 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 2-1 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Bangor 1876 vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield swept aside Bangor 1876 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Bangor 1876 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bangor 1876 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bangor 1876 and 1.00 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Guilsfield?

Bangor 1876 1-4 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 57%, draw 19%, Guilsfield 24%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor 1876) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor 1876) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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