Guilsfield 4-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
54%
+6.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.07/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.16
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Caersws
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
25.10.2025 Caersws Caersws 0-0 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
05.10.2024 Caersws Caersws 5-3 HT 2-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
27.07.2024 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
19.03.2024 Guilsfield 2-2 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
28.10.2023 Caersws Caersws 2-3 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield cruised past Caersws 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guilsfield as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Caersws led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Guilsfield and 2.20 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Caersws?

Guilsfield 4-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 60%, draw 20%, Caersws 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guilsfield), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5
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