Caersws 5-3 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
24%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 40%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.92/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.06
-51% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +65%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Guilsfield
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.07.2024 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
19.03.2024 Guilsfield 2-2 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
28.10.2023 Caersws Caersws 2-3 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws got the better of Guilsfield 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Caersws found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caersws and 2.00 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Guilsfield?

Caersws 5-3 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caersws 37%, draw 24%, Guilsfield 39%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guilsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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