Penrhyncoch 3-2 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.65
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
66%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
2.98
Over 2.5
75%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.43
No
33%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
8%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
17%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
18%
-2.4pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.3pp
66%
Away Win
63%
+3.8pp
25%
Under 2.5
30%
-5.1pp
75%
Over 2.5
70%
+5.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
+1.2pp
33%
BTTS No
34%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 67%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.08/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+49% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
277 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch squeezed past Bangor 1876 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bangor 1876 at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Bangor 1876?

Penrhyncoch 3-2 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 16%, draw 18%, Bangor 1876 66%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor 1876) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor 1876) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
5 Oct 2024
16:00 Llantwit Major vs Goytre United Analysis →
16:00 Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Pontypridd Town AFC Analysis →
16:00 Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →
16:30 Ruthin Town vs Buckley Town Analysis →
16:30 Flint Mountain vs Llay Miners Welfare Analysis →
16:30 Gresford Athletic vs Colwyn Bay Analysis →