Llantwit Major 1-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 28%
-26% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.26/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.49
-40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Goytre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
13.04.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 2-2 HT 1-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
06.04.2024 Llantwit Major 0-1 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
22.07.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 1-2 Llantwit Major GALLK
29.04.2023 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
06.12.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 4-3 HT 2-3 Llantwit Major GALFAW
06.04.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 2-4 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major and Goytre United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Llantwit Major at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.83 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Goytre United?

Llantwit Major 1-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 46%, draw 25%, Goytre United 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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