Flint Mountain 4-2 Llay Miners Welfare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.46
Over 2.5
71%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
62%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.0pp
29%
Under 2.5
25%
+3.6pp
71%
Over 2.5
75%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.8pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 22%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +108%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain beat Llay Miners Welfare 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flint Mountain as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Flint Mountain 4-2 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Mountain win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 62%, draw 20%, Llay Miners Welfare 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flint Mountain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flint Mountain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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