Gresford Athletic 0-5 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
64%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+4.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
64%
Away Win
72%
-7.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.9pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 77%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
0.66/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.41/0.93
-36% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +21%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.02.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-0 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
26.11.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALFAW
03.12.2021 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay ran out comfortable winners over Gresford Athletic 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gresford Athletic and 2.00 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Colwyn Bay?

Gresford Athletic 0-5 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 17%, draw 19%, Colwyn Bay 64%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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