Gresford Athletic 3-2 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.41
No
35%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
67%
-1.6pp
35%
BTTS No
33%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.41/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.68
-13% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
17.08.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-4 HT 2-3 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
15.04.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-2 HT 1-2 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
30.07.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-0 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
09.04.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 4-2 HT 2-2 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
06.11.2021 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-1 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic nicked a narrow win over Penrhyncoch 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gresford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Gresford Athletic and 1.80 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Penrhyncoch?

Gresford Athletic 3-2 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gresford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 43%, draw 21%, Penrhyncoch 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gresford Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gresford Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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