Ruthin Town 3-3 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
70%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
14%
-4.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.5pp
70%
Away Win
68%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 72%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.60/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.78
+35% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Holywell
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
25.08.2025 Holywell Holywell 5-1 HT 3-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
21.03.2025 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
02.11.2024 Holywell Holywell 5-1 HT 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
19.10.2024 Holywell Holywell 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALWK
06.04.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
19.12.2023 Holywell Holywell 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town and Holywell couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holywell at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ruthin Town and 2.50 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Holywell?

Ruthin Town 3-3 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 10%, draw 20%, Holywell 70%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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