Carmarthen Town 2-2 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.27
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
6%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
75%
+5.2pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.0pp
6%
Away Win
9%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.12/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.52
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
26.07.2025 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-4 HT 0-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
08.02.2025 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
07.01.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
29.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
12.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
28.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-3 HT 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Cwmbran Celtic shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Carmarthen Town carried 80% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Carmarthen Town and 0.83 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Carmarthen Town 2-2 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 80%, draw 14%, Cwmbran Celtic 6%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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