Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.18/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-6% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0W-1D-2L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
02.11.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
09.03.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
23.09.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-1 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1-2
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero squeezed past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had 62% of the ball to CDS Tampico Madero's 38%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.33 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated an CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 21%, draw 26%, CDS Tampico Madero 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero)
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