CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA La Paz v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
3-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
CA La Paz 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Actual Match Statistics
CA La Paz and Tepatitlán de Morelos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was CA La Paz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, CA La Paz had 57% of the ball to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 43%, shots finished 12-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA La Paz and 2.67 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
CA La Paz 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 45%, draw 26%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA La Paz), Over 2.5 went the other way.