CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA La Paz v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
3-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos cruised past CA La Paz 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 25%) promised a tight game; Tepatitlán de Morelos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for CA La Paz and 1.80 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
CA La Paz 2-5 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 40%, draw 34%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 25%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA La Paz), Under 2.5 went the other way.