Atlante 1-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-8.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.85/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.59
-2% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
06.05.2024 Atlante Atlante 5-1 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.05.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
03.04.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.10.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
04.06.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
14.05.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante and CD Tapatio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atlante at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atlante and 0.50 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Atlante vs CD Tapatio?

Atlante 1-1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atlante 61%, draw 20%, CD Tapatio 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
5 Oct 2024
04:00 Venados vs Correcaminos UAT Analysis →
06:00 CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Analysis →