Venados 5-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.96/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.97
+5% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 2
24.03.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-1 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
23.08.2023 Venados Venados 4-3 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
11.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-1 Venados Venados MEK2
27.06.2022 Venados Venados 1-3 HT 0-2 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.02.2022 Venados Venados 2-2 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
13.10.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados ran out comfortable winners over Correcaminos UAT 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Venados and 2.00 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Venados vs Correcaminos UAT?

Venados 5-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Venados 51%, draw 22%, Correcaminos UAT 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
5 Oct 2024
04:00 Atlante vs CD Tapatio Analysis →
06:00 CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Analysis →