Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
3-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos ran out comfortable winners over CA La Paz 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.00 for CA La Paz.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 4-1 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 63%, draw 19%, CA La Paz 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.