Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-3 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+10.6pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.4pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.10.2024 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
20.03.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
17.09.2023 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
02.02.2023 Tlaxcala 3-1 HT 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.09.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
17.03.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala edged past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (43% / 19% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tlaxcala found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.50 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-3 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 43%, draw 19%, Tlaxcala 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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