Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Mar 2024

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1-1 HT 1-0
Tlaxcala
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.71/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.27
+29% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.5 Yellow Cards –

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
02.02.2023 Tlaxcala 3-1 HT 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
25.09.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
17.03.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
12.08.2021 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
03.02.2021 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Tlaxcala shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.50 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 36%, draw 30%, Tlaxcala 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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